2008年6月2日星期一

Ambushing two main varieties

The Shanghai index from October 16, 2007 of 6124 declined to April 22, 2008, after the 2990, ushered in the Chinese stock market <<18>> in this market during the main force involved in short-term Round of speculation at the same time, also laid an ambush in the central line of profitable part of the mainstream segment. The most obvious example is the agricultural section in May and mid-May the reconstruction plate in late May and the reorganization of the telecommunications section. According to the analysis of trends: 6124-2990, this round (April 22, 2008) the huge crash, half a year in China A-share market fallen 51.17 percent. Gap for 3134, from 998 to 6,124 between 2956 position 0.618 Points in close proximity (with: history data). (1): 1992 5 month - in November 1992 dropped to 400 points 1429, which lasted five months, the largest decline of 72% (2): 1993 2 month - July 1994 1553 dropped to 325 points, which lasted 18 months, the largest decline of 79% (3): September 1994 - 1996, January 1053, fell 512 points, which lasted 16 months, the largest decline of 51% (4): May 1997 - 1999 at 10:00 on May 15 dropped to 1047, which lasted 24 months, the largest decline of 30% (5): 1999 Jun. - January 2000 dropped to 1,361 points 1,756 points, which lasted 12 months, the largest decline of 22% (6) 2001 Jun. - June 2005 2245 dropped to 998 points, which lasted 48 months, the largest decline by 55% (7): 2007年October - April 2008 6124 declined to 29.9 points, which lasted six months, the largest decline of 51% History can not simply repeating. But some of the development of the stock market and operational tempo, or we should learn from and to the reference, 18 years to the Chinese A-share market plunged an average of seven (72 +79 +51 +30 +22 +55 +51) / 7 = 51.42 percent. This means that as China's securities market to gradually mature and improve the market mechanism. The last 10 biggest drop since only 55 percent of the maximum, then this round in the face of China's rapid economic development under the premise of the rare crash, is still the opportunity Risks. People can see the above data, has been estimated at the end of the minds. So that more pre-policy point near the end of 3000 more security. So when we again face the above data. Market in six month's time after the market plunged 51 percent to investors will be greater investment opportunities. Although the data can not represent the absolute, but through mathematical statistics will be at least a draw Probability. Randomness and the stock market itself is a strong probability, data analysis can be overcome through unnecessary fear. In short by technical analysis and the results of statistical data. Plummeted after chance in front of us, no matter how much wind and waves. As long as the investor confidence in their own countries. The country's economic development have confidence plummeted after the holders will buy is the best选择. For today's operation in terms of: long-term concern could be an ambush, but nearly a month of adjustment: the agricultural sector and reconstruction in the price of stocks and some property stocks varieties

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