Prospect of the road map in June the stock market

Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges as 4.24 phase Tandi policy following the introduction of rapid recovery, when entering May, due to an unexpected earthquake, the market has brought a lot of negative effects, but also increase the market for the future inflation worries Many people expected the "red May" failed to achieve, on the KLCI to close at 3433. With the introduction of lower stamp duty for investors and the management of the positive market position, the panic over market sentiment gradually eased significantly, the market index in May after a sharp shocks of the 3400 re-stand on the above, the money market also started to show effects . The market always has gradually active stocks signs, "February 8" round of dynamic demonstrated that the multi-had made substantial advantages, and in May, turnover is about 2.0137 trillion yuan, over the previous months of 1.9212 trillion yuan, while that of 92.5 billion to enlarge Yuan. Along with the strong stock index investors to participate in the rally will be enhanced, which will further stimulate the market sentiment warmed up until the end of May the overall market remains strong operating characteristics significantly. From the week online, last month the last week or the one with a long decline under the shadow of the cross-line, on K-Line is opened higher after the finishing line of Yam Hammer, in fact, far higher than in April Under the long shadow that average below 30 weeks of very strong support. However, since early 4000 points on the pressure is too large, multi-direct hit new high rebound will be more difficult. K, online, although in varying degrees this week's rally, and once again received five-day MA above, but there are still at the top of 10,20,30,60, and many of the average of repression, the multi-back pace is very Difficult. However, technical indicators, Quepo worth looking forward to, MACD indicators cylindrical green line substantially shrink and show the strength in the air to a further weakening. KDJ 50 indicators in the following form Jincha for investors to provide a support rally. Whenever to the end of the market there will be subtle changes. In May is no exception, in the final week of trading in the market have shown a concussion Pansheng the trend, but more or less a day after diving in to the market casts a shadow. From the turnover also can be seen, the end of the last trading day market rally was not strong with the turnover, which shows that in the face of uncertainty of the macroeconomic context, the market still showed a significant psychological care. This caution and psychological mainly based on post-earthquake economic outlook and inflation is expected on the basis of panic, in mid-June to be announced in May how the CPI data, the market seems to have become a heart disease, in mid-June interest rate increase expected Will upgrade, and this is precisely why the stock prices before the end of last month in a cautious run, even after a diving reasons. For short-term market trend still need to judge the case on two fronts, on the one hand, if the austerity policies introduced quickly, then the market has just established the popular will severely crack down again, so the market will adjust prices to continue Tandi, future investment Who still need Qingcang operation. On the other hand, if not in early June to continue macro-tightening policies introduced, then the index is still slightly earlier this month to rally shocks. I think the short-term austerity policies introduced in the next week the possibility of not, one of the central bank governor has said that further policy will depend on the May CPI data decision, the data is not published before the tightening policies introduced the possibility of smaller And secondly, from the disk can be seen, the last week of May plate performance of banking stocks is not weak, in the latter half of all the signs of a rebound from early next month to make the first week of the expected interest rate increase be reduced . Overall, the operation of the future needs of investors are still concerned about the policy of the news, policy-still exist introduced austerity policies of the possible, not even the first week, but released on the 12th after the CPI data also most likely would trigger contraction The introduction of the policy, therefore, in the next week, if the market tended to stabilize chips, is expected to Jianzhi 3550, 3650, even if the amount can not be effectively able to enlarge the market shocks Pansheng still maintain the possibility of greater investment Are still cautious optimism based. I suddenly have a feeling: the market in mid-June before and after taking a V-shaped reversal of the possibility. 4.24 emergencies in the pre-market policies favourable background, the rapid rise sharply after a more than 800 points, from a technical level, is likely to go second Tandi, covering huge gap jump on the market, Is a normal development pattern. However, there will be special circumstances. Especially in the beginning of continuous sharp plunge more than 2,000 points above, especially in the recent burst of the economic dimension of 5.12 a major event - Sichuan earthquake circumstances, the market has emerged after a panic sell-off of the situation. In the market is expected to fill a gap of the swap, planes Licheng petrochemical market, although not see "red May", but to secure the gap was not the whole policy of closure. There are indications that this market will be around mid-June, taking the possibility of inverted V-shaped. First, May adjustment is characterized by: huge differences between the markets, stock prices Chonggao shocks, in the petroleum, petrochemical, and other heavyweights in the round of dynamic strength, the market turnover obvious release, in particular a large number of new hot topics for active stocks in May 20-26 at the end of the market clearly a very emotional panic, the situation with a V-shaped technical reversal of the basic conditions. Second, from the 4.24-at the end of the disk, the index of the intensity of a strong rebound. Especially in May on the Topix index difference between the minimum and maximum number of 450 points, up more than 10% of the cases, the market remains high shocks that have large funds in the current point of access goods, pre-set Chaodi, Gerou easy game . From a technical side, just when the market is more obvious when the callback requests, there will be a pair of invisible hand of a sudden Tuoqi market, which I believe must be the result of large funds to promote, from this point, the current rebound Quotes from a technical rebound into a capital-driven rebound. Therefore, the index may not take the technical gap Tandi covering market and out of the inverted V-type movements. Of course, here I only estimated that such a possibility and could not immediately determine the market prices go V-reversal, but the trend of investors put more than a possibility. We should pay attention to disk to judge the trend of specific circumstances. A situation, if the index continue to be strong, is beginning to show V-shaped reversal, but my analysis of this situation less likely. In other cases, if the market in early June for the first week of the middle, in 3590, still under the shock, it is possible to build in the near future is also the top, it may still go to secondary Tandi advance along the gap on the short-term adjustments Quotes, probably in 3-4 days time around, after also will be inverted V -