2008年5月31日星期六

The real estate industry may slow down the pace of development of earthquake

Recent high-level continuously reported from the national earthquake disaster on the national economy on a limited impact on the judgement, this judgement should be correct. First, the Chinese economy is already very large, local losses of China's total economic impact is limited, after all the second is the overall economic resources of the earthquake-stricken area's dependence on a small, although the quake Bo Jimian broad, but mainly Economic underdevelopment in the western region; Third, China's economic strength has been very growth of this process from relief can see very clearly that while disaster relief sources of funding channels also have a number of ways; Fourth, investment in the redevelopment process is also a reproduction The process of economic growth is to promote the role. According to the Chinese Academy of Sciences chief scientist of sustainable development strategy, State Department counselor, Professor Niu Wenyuan, the preliminary calculation, Wenchuan earthquake brought direct economic losses of up to 100 million yuan 1300-1500, equivalent to one year's GDP GDP in Sichuan Province, is Over the past 10 years China's average annual total loss of all types of natural disasters, 70% -75%. It was also estimated that the earthquake to Wenchuan in Sichuan and the surrounding areas of the losses could be as high as 500 billion yuan (equivalent to 3 percent of China's GDP), these losses are in addition to personal property, including disaster area's infrastructure. Therefore, it is precisely because of earthquake disaster in the special geographical location, this earthquake is on the local impact of very heavy. The disaster area, the earthquake disaster should be considered particularly serious, a huge loss. Reconstruction will be a very difficult, arduous and long-term task. The next big earthquake on the long-term impact is of particular concern, because, after all, the earthquake has led the Chinese people around the world an unprecedented action. Wenchuan earthquake in the central area of the earthquake and a number of cities in almost all the towns and villages razed to the ground, people can see the most direct and a scene of the ruins is in ruins. Recently various aspects of stepping up delivery of tents and other temporary relief supplies at the same time, the transition has already begun, the construction of swing space. At the same time in the initial demarcation of the temporary housing planning blueprint, drawn from national experts have begun to enter the urban renewal plan in the overall. The leadership of the Ministry of Construction and Sichuan Province have pledged to complete within three years, basic urban renewal work, of course, they say the main housing, roads and other infrastructure construction work. These cities only to restore the past vitality of the building is not enough The earthquake in the majority of people are due to the death, only a handful like "Ambrose Primary School" so lucky, because the children are born. As a result of the city in ruins and destroyed, and the city's reconstruction also depends on a Dongdong the rise buildings. Real estate and the relationship between the earthquake disaster so close, consistent in words and deeds of the industry have become the focus of attention of the community. The following major earthquake due to the impact, may result in the overall real estate slowdown in the pace of development. First, the construction of seismic re-evaluation, it should be said that China's earthquake prediction and seismic research and applications or walk in front of the world. Especially after the Tangshan earthquake, on the one hand the old building to strengthen the anti-seismic measures, on the other hand raise the standard seismic rating. But in the face of the earthquake, almost all the houses have become less vulnerable, is the design problem » Or construction issues » Even the fundamental guiding theory is the basis of the problem » Jingxiaxinlai people deserve a good thought, and we have to come up with new programmes. In any case people have to build on the field from start to finish the process of combing an earthquake, of course, can not be old scores did not count, add new accounts, this will take time. The second is the form of real estate development faces new challenges, as cities face a number of non-renewal of normal, the main source of funding is not commercial in nature. So the development in accordance with the old routines engage in reconstruction in the affected areas are faced with many problems, Vanke 100 million in reconstruction funds have been cause for great attention. In such circumstances Which developers dare to take away a single penny of the reconstruction profits, but also not to let saliva drowned in the market economy, to maximize the benefits for the primary purpose of this is correct, but now developers to participate in the 90% of the reconstruction problem. Because changes in the structure of investment, developers and operators in addition to engage in capital projects planned, the construction of the building now is not the main developer of talent. Therefore the past that construction enterprises Singh is likely to reproduce the situation, we can see the recent turnover of the basic structures of all manufacturers directly, not through the procurement, delivery, installation, and other intermediate links. Another recent mobilization of troops the successful experience also may push to start, while in Maoxian has also launched a Jiudequcai over the building, subsidized by the state corresponding measures. Since the redevelopment of a very large increase in the efficiency of the principle, the next step to take a similar approach the possibility of building is also significant. Third, because of the earthquake makes people's housing assets Yue, enveloping his loss to this property in the past that property is the most stable form of awareness of assets affected, and on the damage to the collapse of the housing mortgage is not by the owners should bear the Discussions will allow people to understand the significance of personal assets. Earthquake property losses caused by psychological shadow inevitably have to reduce people's enthusiasm for buying houses. At the same time the concept of people's consumption will also have a certain impact. Fourth, from earthquake damage to the structure of housing, mainly brick and concrete structure housing. So in the meantime building structure will inevitably bring along new materials research and progress. The facts show that although the past is through the construction of the seismic design, the necessary structural measures, but really to the earthquake, which also difficult to escape the house in the crash. Therefore, accelerating research into new anti-seismic construction materials to promote the construction of the upgrading of key people to look forward to the future structure of the earthquake will affect the current purchase behavior. At the same time the old building of the seismic upgrades are bound to intensify now living costs, such as the Tangshan earthquake, on the North China region to take on all the buildings of a seismic reinforcement. The earthquake, to conduct a nationwide upgrading of reinforcing action is necessary, but now the houses are personal property rights, related to the cost of personal commitment.

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